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The future that has never come PDF Print E-mail
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Wednesday, 15 April 2009
In 1989 Francis Fukuyama announced the end of the story: the final victory of liberal democracy. In the future, had little longer to change. And what? Nothing. The situation recalls some memorable przypowiastkę the Swedish Prime Minister Göran Persson of Baku, which - as the researchers said wyliczyli - with its dimensions in theory, should not fly. Bak but - well - there is this notion, and years. Similarly, a history - has not heard about Fukuyamie and still moving forward headlong. Fukuyama has admitted its error and announced to the public. The same is done - or should have done - many futurologów, sciencie-fiction writers, scientists and philosophers who pokusili for the same. Because remember prophecies about our time presented relatively recently - in the 80-years and 90-of? As was to be and what it came to pass? Chronicles the future
In 2000, the British "Sunday Times" issued "Chronicles of the future" - visions of the first years of the new millennium. I passed tipper from the very beginning by providing that the elections in the U.S. in 2000, Al Gore wins the democrat. And even though - in fact - may be at odds with, or opposition to the majority of real Americans, to the current electoral law was not in doubt - from elections won another dynasty Bushów, and - to trace his father - led the U.S. Army in the Iraqi desert, which greatly influenced the the first decade of the international policy of XXI century. In 2003 - the editors of "ST" - explode in Russia had nuclear civil war ravaging the half - and the torment as communism and poverty jelcynowską country. Nothing that has not happened, however - nuworysz Putin, who in 2000 could seem timid chłopaczyną barely wyglądającym back from behind rozchwianych predecessor, advised us - as it turned out - with the unification of the Russians around them and gaining a "government of souls." In 2005, a departure from the United Kingdom of Scotland was the UK segment (that, it seems, however, a matter of time). "Chronicles of the future" should be understood, however - it seems - przymrużeniem press play with the eye, because in 2007 provided for the authors? earthquake in Hollywood, where the die had Sylvester Stallone and Bruce Willice. Let's look at the most serious so few forecasts.

Revelation and gadfly Persson
In 1972, Club of Rome - zreszająca transnational organization of scientists, businessmen and politicians - apokaliptyczne calculated and published on the development. "The limits of growth", which ostrzegało the population growth on our planet pędzącym and technological development. Feasting and updates until 1990, humanity took years to exhaust the stocks of crude oil and natural gas, and even before - because in 1981 - gold. In 1985, the finish had a silver and mercury in 1987 - the tin, and in 1990 - zinc. The year 1994 had run out of copper and lead. The reality - as gadfly Persson - had no idea about the calculation and the Club of Rome quietly went its own history. Natural resources, yes, shrink, but not dramatically so. Authors' height limits "admitted that their concerns were" exaggerated ", but left an important mark on the green movement, which still - and rightly so - that the operation of draining minerals.



The explosion
Prior to overcrowding - also warned in 1968, Paul R. Ehrlich, wrote "The Population Bomb" ( "Demographic Bomb"). It provided that in the sixties and seventies of the twentieth century, humanity touches reminiscent of the massive famine of the twenties in Ukraine, but on a much larger scale. Have to die of hunger, hundreds of millions of people, entire regions were to be depopulated. The problem of hunger, yes there is. Not so, however, has reached gigantic proportions. No demographic bomb explosion. But - according to Ehrlich - threatening not only the world hunger. In 1973, the year due to smog was killed in the Los Angeles and New York, about 200 000 people. The expected life expectancy of people born in the "smog era", that is - according to Ehrlich - after 1,946 years - was to be 49 years. Yes, smog is a problem, but until it is not that bad.

Pax in Terra
Provide for the future is not easy. Margaret Thatcher - The Iron Lady of British politics and the first woman in that position in 1969 wieszczyła that "a woman in this position is only for many years, certainly not for my life." Harry S. Truman, the president of the United States at the turn of 40 and 50 of the twentieth century, argued in 1950 in an interview for the "Stay in the future peace in the world. Nuclear energy will be under international control. The United Nations will have the power [...] to enforce worldwide law and order. International Trade Organization [predecessor of the WTO - World Trade Organization] will govern world trade. All the countries of Central America will share its riches with the extended Marshall Plan. Communism would collapse, not by armed force, but through umysłom and human hearts. " Well. From Harry Truman's predictions came true, only the latter. All the rest is - unfortunately - only wishful present humanity.

World 2000, from the perspective of 1950
In 1950 experts invited by the Associated Press agency snuli vision of the world in 2000. "From the perspective of 2000" - we read - "the age of the twentieth century had seen the blood and greed." Well - that, after two world wars, there was no need to specifically provide. But to this tragic series of experts join one - third. The war was fought between Russia, which "aim was to unite the world by force", and the U.S., which it wanted to pursue the same objective by seeking to pursue common interests. The conflict took leave victorious United States, which - as in reality - became the sole world power and created - written in quotes - "Empire", but other than of Rome or the British Empire, but creating a completely new quality - had to be a relationship nation under the auspices of the United States, which had to act in the interests of all countries and less developed countries to provide assistance. Round the earth orbit in 2000 was the first "artificial star", which was - like the moon - shine the light reflected from the sun. This would be a huge artificial language satellite, which would serve as a space station, the transmitter, the beachhead expeditions into space and the science base. To - you know - and in some cases true, but instead of "stars" of our planet circling around a rather "asteroid belt" of various artificial satellites. Nuclear energy was a substitute for energy derived from coal and oil. In terms of standard of living (in the U.S.), it had to be in 2000, eight times higher than that in 1950, thanks to an efficient economy and technical facilities. In 2000, progressive emancipation, better diet and scientifically chosen combination of vitamins, protein and minerals had to make a woman will be robust, with a great figure, but also - after męsku - muscular, due to taking many of the work so far by the men. This also was to be a woman's dress - long hair and heeled shoes have - as impractical - in 2000 to be only an echo of the past. "Perhaps the woman" - we read the careful thought given in the report - "even the president."
 
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Hare Krishna

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